Newbury 2-30 Cl2 Hcp £21.8, 3yo, 10f Gd-Fm

Horse Value Price Early Price Result SP
Verdant 5/2 9/4 7 2
Monterosso 11 5 2 11/2

25/1 bar

Newmarket 3-25 Cl2 Hcp 4yo+, £21.8, 1m 6f Gd-Fm (watering)

Horse Value Price Early Price Result SP
Chiberta King 4 7/2 WON 11/4f
Strathcal 9 7 5 8
Mykingdomforahorse 9 6 6 13/2
Royal Diamond 13 9 8 15/2
Gordonsville 13 11/2 4 9/2
Gala Evening 16 12 2 25

17/1 bar

An odd day – I had hoped for some good racing from the betting perspective but the class races are either 3yo only or long distance or ‘predictable’ stakes (though I haven’t bothered to look further at Paco Boy’s race.)

The Newbury 2-30 throws up two favourites in Verdant (5/2V, 9/4E) and Monterosso (11V, 5E). These are not attractive prices though Verdant gets 95% so would be an easy bet as most likely winner. Everything else in the race comes out at 25/1 or longer, a reflection of my being unable to distinguish much between them, which is also why I am scoring to a 81% book rather than 100% – wide margin of error. The bookies give a more gradual range of early prices but they have to or it would look odd – I don’t see how they can distinguish either, in reality. Of the outsiders, Aquarian Spirit is on offer at 33/1 and has Topspeeds vote otherwise could be anything.

The Newmarket 3-25 is 4yo+ but 1m 6f, a funny distance with horses either stepping up or dropping back and for no particular reason other than the lack of opportunities for stayers at this grade. Chiberta King is favourite (4V, 7/2E) but hardly tempting. Mykingdomforahorse and Strathcal are equal second rated on my book at 9/1. Mykingdom was Pricewise’s tip this morning so has shortened from 8s to 6s. Strathcal has several plusses ratingswise and of interest though a point or two more might be available later so I will wait. Still not outstanding value anywhere today it seems – I might just try the Scoop 6!

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