Newmarket 5-30

Merchant of Dubai 3 9/2
Meethaaq 6 7
Hevelius 13/2 6
Final Victory 13/2 9
Camps Bay 7 12 (11 Corals, best odds guarantee) bet 11/1 early, 4/11 14/1

Funny race – several with doubts over fitness and distance, RP notes that 3 yr olds have taken 7 of 10 previous runs. My clear favourite is Merchant of Dubai who is a lightly raced and progressive 4 yr old. Corals go 9/2 here, Ladbrokes just 10/3. My prices are pretty much in line though with both Camps Bay and Final Victory value, else not a particularly tempting race and probably better fare on offer tomorrow.

That said, I will likely back Camps Bay, whose trainer A J Perrett has won this twice in the last 6 runs and who is Topspeed top rated – with any luck he will have been aimed at this and his latest poor run can be ignored. Some rain would suit him too.

Incidentally, I have ruled out William Blake as one that promises but doesn’t deliver, so will be watching to see what he does here. Overall, he seemed a decent horse and I have backed him in the past.
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William Blake has shortened from 12/1 to 9/1. Interesting. There seems little money for any of the others with 2 hrs still to the off.

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