Newmarket 3-40 Cambridgeshire

Wannabe King 10 14
Tryst 12 12
Sirvino 13 10
Almiqdaad 13 11

Kaolak 17 28
Bencoolen 25 66
Credit Swap 27 40
Howdigo 27 100
Marajaa 30 50
Alazeyab 30 40
Fight Club 35 150 bet 150 early 29/32 100/1

Redcar 2-40

Mountain Cat 5 6
Collateral Damage 5 6
White Deer 7 9
Opus Maximus 8 7
Charlie Tipple 10 14
Arizona John 10 10
Summer Gold 12 20
Dream Lodge 14 11
Celtic Change 23 16

I haven’t put up the whole field at Newmarket – 36 runners! Just my odds favourites and the ‘value’ horses, though value is used widely here, it may be that the cutoff point is somewhat shorter, ruling several out. Anyway, on the numbers I have backed Fight Club. 35/1 is an outsider but 150/1 makes it a speculative bet. Lightly raced is a positive in my reckoning and his trainer is in form so he will either bomb or come close (my theory :-))

At Redcar, Summer Gold is a bet if I can get the 20/1 still.
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Fight Club 29/32 at 100/1. I probably asked for that :-) SL: chased leaders, under pressure halfway, weakened over 2f out opened 100/1 touched 100/1

I got a bit of a shock to see that Supaseus won. I had backed him earlier in the season and felt then he was a class horse. the signs were there on this occasion: a win in a higher class (at Ascot as well), on the same mark as that win and a course win to boot. 28/1 would have been nice. This illustrates well the need for a consistent approach and I am getting there, honestly :-) More than 28/1 though was the trifecta: £46355.40, which speaks for itself.

Supaseus is something of a ‘key’ result in that it had such clear features that one could base a method on it (not a system though). I am doing this and will be using the revised approach in coming races. It may be that one is always honing and reviewing one’s method due to the dynamic nature of the game. That said, I am pretty close to a definitive version which will combine accurate prices with relative speed. The above two races erred too much to the speed side of things.

At Redcar, Summer Gold came 8/13 at 16/1. SL: tracked leaders, weakened over 1f out opened 16/1 touched 16/1. Similar observations apply as with the Newmarket race.

Next races on saturday at Ascot. It’s nearing the end of the Flat now so big fields are the norm. I should have things up and running for the Jumps, with a start for betting in November.

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