Romany Princess 5/2 8
Marajaa 6 9
Ellemujie 7 12 bet 14 early
Gold Express 8 7
Resurge 12 9
1st Bab Al Salam 9-2 JF
2nd Isphahan 16-1
3rd Light From Mars 7-1
Ellemujie is value at 14/1 early. A course winner off just 2lbs lower a couple of months ago, he has run in a higher class twice subsequently, both less than optimal draws and made an ‘ambitious run up inner’ last time out at quirky Goodwood. Today is a drop in class, conditions suit and trainer D K Ivory is 2 from 10 in the last fortnight. 14/1 is over-priced at Corals.
Beat SP nicely but poor run. I would say the draw was a major factor in that – caught behind, against the rails, no chance to get through the crowd. Some slight effort it seems but then eased in final furlong – one for later.
I had ruled out all of the first three home, Bab Al Salam with some hesitation – note to self, his trainer is good and on form.
Discussions with a friend today about the market getting closer to ‘my’ odds, in other words, the effect of more information making punters more effective and value harder to find. I blame Nick Mordin.