Last Sovereign 11/4 5
Folly Lodge 3 8 BET 8 early
Seneschal 9/2 7
Den’s Gift 6 10 lads, else 12
I have Last Sovereign down as Most Likely Winner and 5/1 seems generous. Nevertheless, Folly Lodge’s last run, when she met with traffic problems, is better than meets the eye. She has a new trainer as well ( R M Beckett, 4 wins in last 2 weeks), a change which counts as positive. Good ratings from TS and RPR and, according to the RP, on a handy mark of 80. A low strike rate to date (2/18) but value at 8/1, I feel. The ‘rules’ bet would be Den’s Gift (VP 6, best EP 12) but I don’t feel inclined to stray from the top two here. It might even be worth an exacta.
Fineform yesterday got just one top-rated win and one second-rated, both at shortish prices.