Newbury 2-40 Lockinge Stakes
Paco Boy 5 7/4
Major Cadeaux 11/2 16 BET 16 early price
Dream Eater 13/2 16
Aqlaam 15/2 5
Twice Over 8 9
Pressing 10 10
Virtual 10 7
Alexandros 10 18

Newbury 3-10
Alazeyab 6 25 BET 25 early price
Aqwaal 15/2 5/2
Sehoy 10 6
Legislate 10 11/2
Eastern Aria 14 20
Decision 14 20
Weald Park 15 16
Lasso The Moon 15 20
River Captain 16 10
Dialogue 20 11
Statue Book 25 50

I was tempted by Alexandros in the Lockinge Stakes if only because of the trainer’s record and Dettori riding but put off by the high mark – apparently too high for the race trends. The difference is only 2 points in the betting so not a difficult decision to favour Major Cadeaux at 16s. He has form in Group 1 and 2, is suited by the soft ground and fits the trends of this race, according to the Racing Post. He may also make the running in a race lacking an obvious pacemaker.

The 3-10 is for 3 year olds so little to go on and much to take on trust. Alazeyab is likely to be suited by the distance and should come on for his first run a couple of weeks ago. His trainer Micheal Jarvis is 10 for 39 with 3-yr olds at this course. Otherwise, Legislate is the ‘trend’ horse and favoured by the pace/draw though Alazeyab will be with the pacemakers on the rails side.

Post race:
1 Virtual 6/1
2 Alexandros 16/1
3 Twice Over 15/2
4 Paco Boy 11/8F
5 Major Cadeaux 12/1

My suspicions about Alexandros were right as he was beaten literally on the nod, his jockey’s whip having been accidentally knocked away by another rider. I stand by my bet on Major Cadeaux though, he did have the form and class for this, as well as the ground. He appeared to get going but too little, too late.

1 Aqwaal 6/4F
2 Decision 14/1
3 Holyrood
4 Lasso The Moon 14/1
5 Aurorian
6 River Captain 11/1
7 Legislate 6/1
8 Alazeyab 33/1

Described as well held under top weight, Alazeyab never challenged.

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