York 3-10
Extraterrestrial 9/2 8
Flipando 15/2 10
Dream Lodge 11 40 BET 40/1
Yamal 12 13/2
Lovelace 14 14
Blythe Knight 14 20
Joseph Henry 16 12
Furnace 16 18
(Huzzah 16 14 NR)
Lang Shining 20 8
Moynahan 22 16
Mia’s Boy 25 13/2

Clearly, some are out of line here. Mia’s Boy’s trainer is out of form at the moment so no problem ruling him out, I also have his recent form as not so hot. Lang Shining’s mark is high and the distance might not suit. In the other dircetion, Dream Lodge is suited by smaller fields (according to the RP) but his outer draw might compensate for that, meaning less likelihood of getting boxed in.

The pacemakers are Furnace in stall 12 and Philario in stall 5. This means two groups with the outer coming across towards the inside. Extraterrestrial, Flipando and Dream Lodge are in that group and clear of the rail so look likely winners. Yamal is classy but likely to be stuck for an opening, held up from stall 4.

No exotics really appeal at the moment – as usual, I like to ponder these. The win single is nice and straightforward though, Dream Lodge has to be better than 40/1.